- Day 22 we bet more than 10% we are on a winning streak and want to take full advantage of it so we we bet 15% now 3003 X 15% = $450.45 day 23 we bet 450 we win bank is up to 3453$.
- These systems give bettors patterns to help them to increase earnings by giving strategies to win. Betting systems may also be known as ‘staking plans’ or ‘staking formulas’. Some work by betting more when you win.
- The Ascot betting system sees winning bets increase by one step at a time in an agreed list of amounts. Losing bets see the next bet decreased by one step. The Ascot series can be between 7 and 11.
- Betting 2% or Less of Your Bankroll. A common scenario for casual gamblers is to walk into the.
People do win money with betting systems in the short run. The problem with this is they let their short-term wins cloud their judgement. We recommend you read our page about mathematics in gambling.
Those looking to convert their football knowledge into income via a bookmaker will often use a mix of research and instincts as the basis for decision making on bets.
Yet, even when equipped with a profound knowledge of the sport, they can still be caught out without an adequate system or football betting strategy.
Despite having confidence in your own ability to make the right calls on football markets, as we all know things don’t always pan out as predicted in football and sport in general.
That’s why bettors need to have a strategy that they stick to in order to nullify the potential of abnormal results harming your bankroll.
In this guide, we’ll analyse a few betting systems in football to give more food for thought for punters who follow the global game, and help you decide on your overall betting strategy on the sport.
Table of Contents
- Betting Systems That Work
- The Betting System That MIGHT Work For You
- Betting Systems That DON’T Work
Betting Systems That Work
We’ve split this up into two sections for you.
This first section looks at betting systems that really work.
With these, you’re either guaranteed or have a good chance of making regular profits:
Are you looking for a football betting system that works every single time?
The number one and by far the best football betting system is matched betting.
Unlike a few other methods listed in this post, matched betting is the only football system that is virtually risk-free (barring human error and gubbings) and will continue to deliver big profits time and time again.
The trick is to back bets and then lay them off so that you can’t actually lose a bet – regardless of the outcome, you will win.
You should be doing this on promotions where a bookmaker has promised to match your bet with a free bet. By laying off your bet, you can’t lose. You are guaranteed a free bet regardless of the outcome of the game.
You can then also lay off the free bet to ensure you make a profit no matter what.
You are guaranteed to make a profit every single month with the matched betting system.
We’ve made over £75,000 in profit since starting matched betting — and we’ve never had a losing month. (If you’re in the UK, you can start here for free.)
Did you know you can make money on football – or any sport – without even using a bookmaker?
By using Betfair Exchange, you can back for and against outcomes similarly to how you would on a regular bookmaker.
However, you will get better odds and the ability to ‘trade’ odds in real-time – you can buy and sell just like on a stock exchange.
Whether you’re betting pre-match or in-play, you can use trading to make guaranteed profits.
This can be a complex process to get your head around, but we have a post that should really help you out: The Definitive Guide to Betfair Trading.
The Betting System That MIGHT Work For You
This is a bankroll management system, rather than strictly a football betting system, but it is something you should definitely consider:
The Kelly Criterion
Based on sound money management, the Kelly Criterion is a betting system that implements a calculated method to determine the stake of a bet on an outcome with higher-than-expected odds.
The system maximises the value of the bet by determining the percentage of your bankroll you should use.
There are many variations of this formula, and some appear comprehensible only to math wizards, but here we’ve put it in layman’s terms.
Stake = (Decimal Odds x % Chance Win) – 1) / (Decimal Odds – 1) * 100
Stake = Maximum stake
Decimal Odds = Odds offered by the bookmaker
% Chance Win = Probability of winning as determined by you, expressed as a decimal point
Let’s say you have calculated the probability as 55% (0.55) on an even-money (2.0) bet:
Stake = ((2.0 x 0.55) – 1) / (2.0 – 1) x 100
Stake = ((1.10 – 1) / 1) x 100
Stake = 10%
MAKING THAT EASIER FOR YOU…
For those who get headaches from formulas such as the above, the stake, put simply, is the difference between the probability of winning and losing as determined by you.
If you don’t have an edge, or have a negative edge, then don’t bet.
Just like any system the Kelly Criterion has its drawbacks, and these are quite pronounced in football betting.
Firstly, using the example above, it often asks you to invest a significant amount of your bankroll on a bet.
Given it’s an aggressive strategy that looks to maximise your profits, you’ll find that a large stake is often required.
The second and most significant shortcoming of this betting system lies in the Kelly Criterion’s assumption that a bettor is able to accurately predict the probability of a certain outcome.
If you misinterpret a team’s chance of winning as a percentage value, the calculations behind this method become skewed and you pay the price.
Therefore, if deciding to test the method in football betting, perhaps it’s better to be conservative and avoid overestimating the probability of a victory.
That will ensure your stakes aren’t exuberant and the losses don’t eat up all of your bankroll.
Betting Systems That DON’T Work
Here, we look at the betting systems that are not sensible or profitable long-term investments of time or money.
Whilst you may have heard about them elsewhere, or have been recommended them by people you think you can trust, they are absolutely not worth pursuing – ever.
First, let’s get the football betting systems that should be avoided out of the way.
The Martingale Method basically entails a bettor doubling their stake immediately following any losing even-money bet, thereby allowing the first win to recover all previous losses.
Good in theory, not quite the case in reality.
Why? Because a run of bad luck could essentially bankrupt any bettor using this method.
Let’s say you lost four even-money bets in a row having put £10 on your first wager. Your second bet would have to be £20, third £40 and fourth £80. Before you know it you’re out of pocket to the tune of £150.
Anyone who has invested time and money in sports betting understands that no matter how sound your research and analysis has been, a series of losing bets by account of bad luck is entirely possible.
This method is common in roulette and people think it’s fail-proof. Well, let me tell you, chasing losses is never good – I’ve seen it land on black 20 times in a row before, seriously.
So, when implementing the Martingale Method it may seem tempting to think: “The next win will make up for all the previous losses.”
The reality is a lot different. That win may not come before you realise that you’re out of cash.
It’s simply not wise to chase your losses when gambling in general, and this is method asks you to do so blindly.
Stay clear of the of the Martingale Method when wagering on football – the only way it would ever work is if you had infinite amounts of money. This is impossible of course.
Blackjack hole card reader. Among the three possible outcomes to football matches – win, loss or draw – one often gets overlooked, the draw.
Perhaps this is because they can be more difficult to pick than either Team A or Team B winning.
That’s certainly the reasoning behind implementing the Fibonacci Method, which is based on the theory that it is harder for bookmakers to predict a draw that the other two possible outcomes.
So, by using the Fibonacci Method in football betting, the bettor tries to exploit this.
The Fibonacci Method is based on a mathematical sequence where each new number equals the total of the previous two.
Winning Tennis Betting Systems
It looks like this: 1, 1, 2, 3, 5, 8, 13… and so on.
How does this all apply to football?
Well, implementing this method has been encouraged on those wishing to bet on draws.
Basically, the method entails the implementation of two principles:
- Find bets on draws with a probability above 2.618 as reflected by bookmaker odds
- In the case of losing bets, increase your subsequent betting stake by following the Fibonacci sequence
As with the Martingale Method, Fibonacci thinking relies on continually increasing your stake to cover your previous losses.
We’ve outlined the dangers of this, but by comparison to the Martingale Method the increases within a sequence of Fibonacci bets are gradual, thereby minimising the total amount of liability during a bad run.
That’s not to say that this method protects you from the risks of seeing your bankroll disappear in the case of losing streak. It can.
But the mathematical principle behind the Fibonacci approach is a lot more measured than simply doubling your stake each time.
If pursuing this method, perhaps it’s worth reviewing the amount of draws that have taken place across several seasons in different leagues, and choosing a league where draws are more common.
With some statistical analysis as your back-up, this is certainly a method that would be worth testing the success of over time.
Betting Systems: Are They for You?
It’s all about maximising your edge over the bookmaker in the sports gambling business.
With matched betting, you can guarantee that edge 100% of the time. Sign up for our free matched betting course via this link.
Other than that, a betting system based on proven mathematical principles is a good starting point.
Look towards Betfair Trading or challenge bets.
Combine that with sound knowledge of the sport and disciplined decision making, and you may have found a pathway to profit.
But as this post has highlighted, there are risks aligned with some betting systems when it is applied to football, some more prominent then others.
Assessing the value of one betting system over another is crucial, so hopefully we’ve helped with that.
Testing the one you think is most risk averse is perhaps worth pursuing, but if over time the numbers don’t add up it’s not the strategy for you.
Through patience, discipline and perhaps a little bit of a conservative streak, you may just find that a betting system can give you the advantage you crave.
One of the greatest quotes in world history is “Never change the winning formula“. As in life, the same statement can apply to the world of betting. There are multiple ways to win some serious money betting on various sports and there are also some strategies or betting systems that might help you do that. Here we will review the best sports betting systems out there which are the most trusted & accurate ones.
ZCode System Membership: VIP Club, Winning Picks & Predictions
#1 Rated Sports Betting System Software: The Zcode betting system is one of the best sports betting investment system providing sports picks for NBA, MLB, MFL, NHL, NCAAF College Football, NCAA College basketball, tennis, soccer and horse racing, and other sports since 1999. In the last MLB session, they have generated 12000 US dollar profit for members from an investment average of 100 US dollar. The good thing about the system is that they have not a single losing month ever.
The membership of VIP Club, Winning Picks & Predictions is costing $198 per month as long as you wish to be a member of the ZCode system. Now you can get a limited-time trial offer for $7 and thereafter a monthly payment of $49 by clicking the link below. Z Code system comes with a 60 days money-back guarantee. In any case, you are not 100% happy with the system you shall be refunded the subscription amount in full.
Sports Cash System – Sports Wagering System
Best Sports Betting Systems
Sports Cash System works for every sport in the USA and the world. This system is foolproof, easy to use, and works for all levels of sports bettors! Solid bankroll management, brilliant software and expert human prediction combined to make 94 percent winning profit in sports cash system. If you start with 100$ as starting a betting unit you can make a profit of $500 to $2500 per month.
Be sure if this system is right for you or not? This betting system that works for EVERYONE, no matter if you are a complete newbie or experienced sports bettor. Watch the free video preview here, it tells you exactly about Sports Cash System and why this system works so well:
As a new member, you can try the famous system for only $4.95 in your first week and then $149 per month. They teach you everything step-by-step and give you FULL member access to the system so you can start using the system using their expert handicappers picks and unique wagering system.
The Sports Picks Buffet System
The “Sports Picks Buffet” is a sports handicapper network, where you will access to sports picks from hundreds of the best handicappers around the globe. Normally an expert handicapper charges up to thousands of dollars for the sports picks. But in this system, you will get hundreds of tips for a particular game through one single subscription. Now you need not have to rely on a single handicapper before placing a bet for a particular game. You will go through the picks from different handicappers and place the bet in favor of the team for whom most of the handicappers provide their positive signals. In this way, it will be easier for you to determine the best picks of the day & expand your chance of winning.
Now they are offering a five days trial for $7 & the $37 weekly thereafter. This is one of the best sports betting systems & you must take a test drive through their trial offer!
Whale Picks System: The Champs Betting Systems
The promoter of The Whale Pick system is the famous gambler named as the “Whale” or “The Sports Betting Champ” who had ransacked the Sportsbooks by winning huge bets. By using his sports picks members have generated a million dollars of profit. By investing as per Whale Pick system’s number and pattern-recognition technique and following the system religiously one must generate huge profit.
Whale Picks system offers two bonus i.e. The Whale’s “Acceleration” Bankroll Management System and “The Whale’s Overtime Betting System” along with their subscription which very essential for sports bettor to succeed in betting. The Whale Picks cost higher i.e. $300 per month than the other two systems. But according to the sports picks provider the system has the potential to turn a thousand dollars into ten million dollars.
Exterminator Sports Betting System
This is one of the best handicapping system developed by “The Champ” which have taken the industry into a storm. The famous handicapper mixed his passion for sports with mathematics to developing this amazing betting system. The system mainly provides sports betting picks for NBA, MLB, NFL games. The betting system costs $200 which will provide lifetime access to the system plus lifetime picks.
What is the Sports investing system?
Sports betting investment systems provide predictions and picks prior to the game outcomes being declared and enabling the bettors to place the bet. The betting system software release the sports picks by taking into consideration the past performance of the teams, individual players, etc.
Why is important to have a betting system?
What is very important to realize at the very beginning, the formula itself is never a guarantee of any positive final outcome? The formula can also sometimes fail, but after some period of time, it can still give you more positive than negative outcomes. By going through the advice and picks of the picks provider and following proper bankroll management the sports bettor will ultimately succeed in his betting business.
If there was a universal winning formula at our disposal, the bookies would not be working and would most likely change something about their approach.
How to choose the right betting system?
The truth is, not all sports prediction software suit the same number of people so a lot of this is your decision. Kelly criterion is very successful but requires big calculations and research to properly invest, while Martingale can get you broke very soon.
Go through our top sports betting system review & visit their individual websites to choose the best betting system out there. While all the betting systems work with different techniques & strategies, it is always advised to stick to a single betting system at a time. No sports handicapper in the world can guarantee 100 percent success in their predictions.
- At first, you need to have thorough bankroll management which all the top betting systems will guide you through their training. It would be advised to fix your betting budget first and the amount per bet. Normally 1% of the betting budget is used per a single bet.
- Sports predictions are base on probability and need consistent wagering as per the advice of the winning betting system to succeed.
If you take sports betting as gambling you may likely fail in this business. Like any other business, you should learn the nitty-gritty of the game & prepare to take it as one investment option like share trading or Forex trading, etc.
Top Recommended Sports Betting System:
Top Recommended Arbitrage Betting Software:
References and Further Reading:
- The Kelly criterion in blackjack, sports betting, and the stock market (EO Thorp – Finding the Edge: Mathematical Analysis of Casino, 1998)
- Sports betting: Can gamblers beat randomness? (M Cantinotti, R Ladouceur- Psychology of addictive, 2004)
- Mapping Internet gambling: Emerging modes of online participation in wagering and sports betting (R Woolley – International Gambling Studies, 2003)
- Testing market efficiency: Evidence from the NFL sports betting market (PK Gray, SF Gray – The Journal of Finance, 1997)
- Gambling on sport: Policy issues (JH Frey – Journal of Gambling Studies, 1992)
- Sports forecasting: a comparison of the forecast accuracy of prediction markets, betting odds and tipsters (M Spann, B Skiera – Journal of Forecasting, 2009)
- Optimal strategies for sports betting pools (B Clair, D Letscher – Operations Research, 2007)
- Of Bookies and Brokers: Are Sports Futures Gambling or Investing, and Does It Even Matter (CT Pickens – Geo. Mason L. Rev., 2006)