Get a detailed breakdown of the betting lines for UFC 257, which is set to hit Ethiad Arena in Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates, this weekend (Sat., Jan. 23, 2021), including best bets, underdogs.
For five-round matchups, the OVER/UNDER is typically 2.5 rounds. An example would be if M. Bison and Colonel William F. Guile from Street Fighter were squaring off for a five-round contest. The UFC betting odds for this pretend fight are +120 if the match goes over 2.5 rounds, and -140 if. UFC/MMA odds comparison service. Compare the latest UFC/MMA fight odds and betting lines from the top online sportsbooks. UFC OVER/UNDER Lines. Sportsbooks such as 5Dimes are almost always first out with these “MMA totals,” and it’s the same as betting totals in football or basketball. In MMA, the sportsbook sets a total (usually 1.5 rounds for a three-round fight or 2.5 rounds for a five-round fight) and you get to bet whether the fight will be finished.
The next major MMA event takes place on Saturday night, with UFC 259 live from the UFC Apex in Las Vegas.
The main event features light heavyweight champion Jan Blachowicz battling middleweight titlist Israel Adesanya.
As always with a UFC event, there are certainly plenty of bets to be made. Let's take a look at some of them.
UFC 259 odds for Blachowicz vs. Adesanya
Israel Adesanya: -250
Jan Blachowicz: +210
(All odds via BetMGM)
BetMGM has Adesanya installed as a surprisingly huge favorite — as of Tuesday, he comes in at -250, meaning you'd need to bet $250 to win $100. Meanwhile, Blachowicz is a +210, meaning if you pluck down $100, you will win $210.
Blachowicz's (27-8) enters his first title defense having reeled off four consecutive victories, highlighted off by running through Dominick Reyes via second-round TKO at UFC 253 to win the vacant light heavyweight championship and capture UFC gold for the first time. It appeared former 205-pound title challenger Glover Teixeira would be next for the native of Poland, but a surprising name emerged into the conversation.
Adesanya (20-0) won the interim belt in a back-and-forth war against Kelvin Gastelum at UFC 236 in April 2019. Six months later at UFC 243, Adesanya knocked out Robert Whittaker in the second round to become the undisputed champion. 'The Last Style Bender' last fought on the same show as Blachowicz when he thrashed Paulo Costa via second-round TKO. Instead of taking a rematch against former 185-pound champion Robert Whittaker, Adesanya wanted a new challenge. He had a meeting with UFC president Dana White and expressed his desire to move up and challenge Blachowicz.
And here we are.
Despite the shockingly wide odds, this is a closer fight than the numbers are indicating. There's no question how great of a competitor Adesanya is. He's undefeated for a reason. Out of his 20 wins (last 10 in the UFC), Adesanya' won 15 of those via stoppage (five in the UFC). Look at what he did to the previously unbeaten Costa. He had the Brazilian on his back foot throughout and reluctant to use his impressive punching power.
Blachowicz is no joke. He started his UFC run by 1-2. Being on the verge of possibly getting his walking papers, Blachowicz went on a torrid stretch by winning seven of his next fights, with five of those wins coming via stoppage (two submissions, three knockouts).
Because Adesanya's looked this good at middleweight doesn't mean his excellent skills will resonate at light heavyweight. There are weight classes for a reason. The only advantage that Adesanya possesses is in the speed department. You have to give Blachowicz the edge in power and if he can get Adesanya on the ground.
For Adesanya to win, he's going to have to be like a surgeon. He needs to be tactical and pick his spots at range. Getting into a clinch situation does him no good because Blachowicz could take him down, blast him with the strong left hand, or grind him to the point of exhaustion because of his significant weight advantage.
For Blachowicz, he needs to do what brought him to the big stage. He's got massive power in both hands and a better-than-average ground attack. If he can avoid or block Adesanya's leg kicks, it should be an easy night at the office.
When it's all said and done, the power and weight will be too much for 'The Last Style Bender,' and Blachowicz is going to use his 'Polish Power' to retain the light heavyweight title and hand Adesanya his first professional defeat.
Jan Blachowicz vs. Israel Adesanya prediction
Muehlhausen pick: Jan Blachowicz
Best odds: Jan Blachowicz to win by KO/TKO, DQ or submission: +340
More Blachowicz vs. Adesanya odds
Total number or rounds: over/under
- Over 1.5: -250
- Under 1.5: +195
Will the fight go the distance?
- Yes: +170
- No: -200
Method of victory
- Adesanya by KO/TKO/DQ: +115
- Adesanya by submission: +1900
- Adesanya by decision: +250
- Tie/technical tie: +5000
- Blachowicz by KO/TKO/DQ: +500
- Blachowicz by submission: +650
- Blachowicz by decision: +900
Arguably the deepest Ultimate Fighting Championship (UFC) division heats up once again this Saturday (Jan. 23, 2021) when superstar slugger Conor McGregor squares off against Dustin Poirier in a Lightweight rematch more than six years in the making. Also at 155 pounds, ultra-tough Dan Hooker welcomes Bellator wrecking machine Michael Chandler to the Octagon, while women’s Flyweight Joanne Calderwood looks to start a fresh climb up the ladder against former title challenger Jessica Eye.
UFC 257 is a doozy of an event, one that stands to earn discerning bettors a tidy profit. Here’s how:
What Went Wrong at UFC Fight Island 8?
The worst kind of failed bet is one that didn’t have to fail. Tyson Nam could have taken a decision over Matt Schnell by pressing the issue more in the second round, and Tom Breese could have potentially out-lasted Omari Akhmedov if he hadn’t fruitlessly chased submissions. Alas, a loss is a loss ..
I know we’re off to a bad start, so all I can do is ask that you bear with me.
UFC 257 Odds For The Under Card:
Arman Tsarukyan (-290) vs. Nasrat Haqparast (+245)
Brad Tavares (-125) vs. Antonio Carlos Junior (+105)
Ufc Odds For Sat
Sara McMann (-130) vs. Julianna Pena (+110)
Khalil Rountree (-325) vs. Marcin Prachnio (+265)
Makhmud Muradov (-135) vs. Andrew Sanchez (+115)
Movsar Evloev (-495) vs. Nik Lentz (+395)
Zhalgas Zhumagulov (-115) vs. Amir Albazi (-105)
Thoughts: Nasrat Haqparast should not be a +245 underdog. He got murked by Drew Dober, sure, but Dober’s on an absolute tear at the moment. Even if Tsarukyan’s had the stronger performances recently, Haqparast is by far the best striker he’s ever faced, and the German’s takedown defense is no joke.
In short, a morsel on Haqparast makes sense .. if only for the value.
As someone who correctly predicted Andrew Sanchez’s slight upset over Wellington Turman last year, let me be the first to say that he’s in serious trouble against Makhmud Muradov. “Mach” pushes the sort of pace that has sunk “El Dirte” in the past, is the more versatile striker, and is a sufficiently capable wrestler to keep it in his wheelhouse.
Despite the layoff, I like Muradov to win this comfortably.
Though I recognize that Zhalgas Zhumagulov deserved the win in his Octagon debut, he’s been the recipient of some shaky decisions in the past, notably against strong wrestlers. Amir Albazi definitely fits the bill, and his ability to keep up with Zhumagulov’s speed on the feet should allow him to control the fight wherever it ends up.
If you want to beef these lines up at all, consider Khalil Rountree. He hits stupid hard and Marcin Prachnio has been knocked out three times in a row, so that seems like a safe investment.
UFC 257 Odds For The Main Card:
Conor McGregor (-290) vs. Dustin Poirier (+245)
Ufc Over Under Odds Nfl
Dan Hooker (-130) vs. Michael Chandler (+110)
Joanne Calderwood (-120) vs. Jessica Eye (EVEN)
Ottman Azaitar (-155) vs. Matt Frevola (+135)
Amanda Ribas (-300) vs. Marina Rodriguez (+250)
Thoughts: Call me crazy, but I think Dan Hooker is going to destroy Michael Chandler.
This isn’t a case of UFC jingoism or disrespect toward Chandler’s accomplishments: he’s a great fighter. Unfortunately, his flaws play right into Hooker’s hands. “Iron” tends to leave his head on the centerline and throw his right hand with enough force to unbalance himself, which combine with his unspectacular chin to leave him vulnerable; people willing to stay in the firing line to throw back, like Patricio Pitbull and Brent Primus, have badly hurt him in the past. Hooker possesses both the Lightweight division’s best chin and its best knees, so while he can take whatever Chandler dishes out, the opposite isn’t true. In short, expect Hooker to sprawl-and-brawl before landing something game-changing and make sure you’re in position to profit.
UFC 257 Best Bets:
- Single bet — Nasrat Haqparast: Bet $25 to make $61.25
- Parlay — Makhmud Muradov and Khalil Rountree: Bet $60 to make $76.80
- Parlay — Amir Albazi and Khalil Rountree: Bet $40 to make $62
- Single bet — Dan Hooker: Bet $65 to make $50
UFC 257’s main- and co-main alone should sell this event for you. If not, well, you may not be on the wrong website. Poker world offline poker. See you Saturday, Maniacs.
Remember that MMAmania.com will deliver LIVE round-by-round, blow-by-blow coverage of the entire UFC 257 fight card right here, starting with the early ESPN+ “Prelims” matches online, which are scheduled to begin at 6:15 p.m. ET, then the remaining undercard balance on ESPN/ESPN+ at 8 p.m. ET, before the PPV main card start time at 10 p.m. ET on ESPN+ PPV.
To check out the latest and greatest UFC 257: “McGregor vs. Poirier 2” news and notes be sure to hit up our comprehensive event archive right here.
Ufc Odds Predictions
Initial Investment For 2021: $300
Current Total For 2021: $213.21