Odds as of September 9. Hamlin Has Healthy Results at Richmond. If you’re looking for a driver with a strong track record at Richmond Raceway this week, Denny Hamlin is one of the best options. He’s only won this race three times in his history here (since 2006) but he has a ton of Top 10’s. But Hamlin has won at Richmond just once in the past decade, while two of his Joe Gibbs Racing teammates have performed much better there. Harvick, who hasn’t won at Richmond since 2013, remains a +400 NASCAR betting odds co-favorite along with Martin Truex Jr. Eight playoff drivers have wins at Richmond, making it a crowded field of contenders.
The Monster Energy Cup Series rolls into Richmond Raceway Saturday night for the Federated Auto Parts 400 at 7:30 p.m. ET.
Joe Gibbs Racing driver Martin Truex Jr. (+550), the winner last week in the South Point Hotel Casino 400 at Las Vegas Motor Speedway, picked up the victory in the spring race at Richmond, too. In fact, four of his past seven starts at Richmond have resulted in a top-10 finish, so all eyes will be on MTJ.
Who is going to win Federated Auto Parts 400 at Richmond Raceway?
All odds from BetMGM. For a full-set of today’s sports betting odds, access them at USA TODAY Sports. Odds last updated Saturday at 11:00 a.m. ET.
While Truex leads all drivers with a 121.0 Driver Rating across the past five stops at the Virginia short track, Stewart-Haas Racing’s Kevin Harvick (+550) is next with a 112.4 Driver Rating while running 92.0 percent of his laps inside the Top 15. Happy also has a 6.2 Average-Finish Position (AFP) across his past five Richmond outings.
Harvick has three checkered flags in his career in 37 Cup starts in Richmond while leading 1,139 laps with 15 top-5 finishes, 24 top-10 results and no DNFs with a 9.89 AFP.
JGR’s Denny Hamlin (+550) is also a three-time winner at this track, and the Chesterfield, Va. native gets hyped to drive in his backyard. In 26 Cup starts, he is second among all drivers with a 9.38 AFP, leading a circuit-best 1,659 laps. He is as good of a bet as any. Are you new to sports betting? A $10 wager on Hamlin at +550 would return a profit of $55.00 if he wins the race.
His teammate Kyle Busch (+300) is also a good bet, winning six times in 28 Cup starts while leading everyone with a 6.96 AFP. He was eighth in this event in the spring, but he swept both Richmond races in 2018. A $10 wager on Busch would return a $30 profit if he wins.
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Ganassi Racing driver Kyle Larson (+2500) has managed a win, two top-5 runs, four top-10 showings and 73 laps led with a solid 12.2 AFP. If you’re thinking a little bit outside of the box, and away from the heavy favorites (Busch, Hamlin, Harvick and Truex), Larson could sneak up and cash tickets. If he pulls out the victory, a $10 wager on Larson would return a $250 profit.
Richmond Raceway long-shot bets
Roush Fenway Racing driver Ryan Newman (+10000) is in the playoffs (currently 13th in the standings), yet no one is talking about ‘The Rocket Man’. That could change if he simply lives up to his career averages at Richmond. In 35 Cup starts he has a win, seven top-5 finishes and 19 top-10 runs with a strong 12.54 AFP and just one DNF.
Keep an eye on SHR’s Daniel Suarez (+9000), too. He has been a quick study at Richmond, finishing 18th or better in each of his five Cup starts at the short track, including a seventh-place run in Fall ’17. His 12.8 AFP is ninth among all active participants.
Now that you know which drivers you should consider to bet in the Federated Auto Parts 400, head to BetMGM and place your wagers today.
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NASCAR Cup Series driver Martin Truex Jr. brings out a caution after hitting the wall during the Coca-Cola 600 at Charlotte Motor Speedway.
The 2020 NASCAR Playoffs will trim the field from 16 drivers competing for the championship to 12 in two weeks, but all 38 drivers at the 2020 Federated Auto Parts 400 will be fighting to take the checkered flag at Richmond Raceway on Saturday night. The green flag drops at 7:30 p.m. ET and with just a 44-point gap between 16th and third position in the 2020 NASCAR standings, there will be a lot on the line when it does. Aric Almirola and Clint Bowyer are currently tied for 12th with 2,033 points and their battle could be an epic one over the next two weekends.
Almirola is at 25-1 in the 2020 Federated Auto Parts 400 odds from William Hill, while Bowyer is listed at 50-1. However, points leader Kevin Harvick and Martin Truex Jr., who won both races at Richmond last season, are the 7-2 co-favorites in the NASCAR at Richmond odds. Before locking your 2020 Federated Auto Parts 400 picks, be sure to see the latest 2020 NASCAR Playoffs at Richmond predictions and projected leaderboard from the proven model at SportsLine.
Developed by daily Fantasy pro and SportsLine predictive data engineer Mike McClure, this proprietary NASCAR prediction model simulates every race 10,000 times, taking into account factors such as track history and recent results.
The model began the 2020 NASCAR season by picking Denny Hamlin to win his second consecutive Daytona 500 at 10-1. It got off to a hot start on its NASCAR picks following the coronavirus hiatus as well, calling seven of the top 10 drivers at both Darlington races. Using the model, McClure also recommended an outright play on winner Brad Keselowski at 13-1 as one of his best bets at Bristol in May.
The model also called Kevin Harvick's win at Atlanta and nailed a whopping nine top-10 finishers in that race. McClure also used the model to lock in an outright bet on Hamlin winning at 10-1 at Miami. At The Brickyard, the model called Harvick's fourth victory of the season, and also identified four top-five drivers in the All-Star Race at Bristol. At the Daytona road course, the model called Chase Elliott's win and nailed three of the top four drivers. Anybody who has follow the model has seen huge returns.
Now, the model simulated the NASCAR at Richmond race on Saturday, Sept. 12, 10,000 times. Head here to see the complete projected leaderboard.
Top 2020 Federated Auto Parts 400 predictions
One surprise: The model is high on Joey Logano, even though he's a 14-1 long shot in the latest NASCAR at Richmond odds from William Hill. He's a target for anyone looking for a huge payday. Logano enters Saturday night's race at third in the standings, but he's 27 points behind second-place Denny Hamlin and 46 points back from Harvick.
That means he'll need to work his way to the front of the pack to seek stage wins and an overall victory to start eating into that deficit. Luckily for Logano, he's had a lot of success at Richmond Raceway. He won the Toyota Owners 400 there in 2014 and 2017 and has earned a top-four finish there in four of his last six starts.
And a massive shocker: Martin Truex Jr., one of the Vegas co-favorites at 7-2, stumbles big time and barely crack the top five. There are far better values in this loaded field. After winning 23 times the last four seasons, Truex only made it to Victory Lane once during the regular season and then began the 2020 NASCAR Playoffs with a 22nd-place finish at Darlington last week.
Truex is now 57 points back of Harvick in the NASCAR standings and he'll have to start back in 14th at the 2020 Federated Auto Parts 400. Even with wins in each of the last two races at Richmond and a win at Martinsville earlier this season, Truex will have his work cut out to navigate past 13 other NASCAR Cup Series championship contenders at Richmond Raceway on Saturday night.
How to make 2020 Federated Auto Parts 400 picks
The model is also targeting four other drivers with 2020 NASCAR at Richmond odds of 14-1 or longer to make a serious run at the checkered flag, including a massive 50-1 long shot. Anyone who backs these drivers could hit it big. You can only see who they are here.
So who wins Saturday's 2020 Federated Auto Parts 400? And which long shot stuns NASCAR? Check out the latest odds below and then visit SportsLine now to see the full projected 2020 NASCAR at Richmond leaderboard, all from the model that has crushed its NASCAR picks and nailed the Daytona 500.
2020 NASCAR Playoffs at Richmond odds (via William Hill)
Kevin Harvick 7-2 Rounders kgb poker chips.
Martin Truex Jr. 7-2
Denny Hamlin 4-1
Kyle Busch 5-1
Xfinity Race Odds Richmond
Brad Keselowski 17-2
Joey Logano 14-1
Chase Elliott 15-1
Aric Almirola 25-1
Ryan Blaney 25-1
Kurt Busch 40-1
Erik Jones 40-1
William Byron 50-1
Richmond Race Odds
Clint Bowyer 50-1
Jimmie Johnson 50-1
Matt DiBenedetto 60-1
Alex Bowman 60-1
Tyler Reddick 100-1
Matt Kenseth 100-1
Austin Dillon 100-1
Christopher Bell 100-1
Cole Custer 150-1
Ryan Newman 200-1
Chris Buescher 300-1
Richmond Race Odds
Bubba Wallace 300-1
Ricky Stenhouse Jr. 300-1
John Hunter Nemechek 1500-1
Michael McDowell 2000-1
Ty Dillon 2000-1
Ryan Preece 2000-1
Daniel Suarez 2500-1
Brennan Poole 5000-1
Quin Houff 5000-1
JJ Yeley 5000-1
Corey Lajoie 5000-1