Tale of the tape
Floyd Mayweather and Filipino, Manny Pacquiao are considered the best two fighters of their generation.
Mayweather vs Pacquiao Rematch Betting Odds. With the news of Mayweather attending Pacquiao vs Broner, boxing betting sites have lit up with boxing betting odds for this possible rematch. According to MyBookie, Floyd is listed as a -250 favorite over the +200 underdog Manny Pacquiao. These current odds show some movement from the opening odds. Floyd Mayweather Jr. Manny Pacquiao, billed as the Fight of the Century or the Battle for Greatness, was a professional boxing match between undefeated five-division world champion Floyd Mayweather Jr. And eight-division world champion Manny Pacquiao. It took place on May 2, 2015, at the MGM Grand Garden Arena in Las Vegas, Nevada.
After years of talking the mega fight will finally see Floyd put his WBC and WBA welterweight titles on the line against Pacquiao's WBO at the MGM Grand.
Below are the head-to-head stats for each fighter:
Coming into the fight Pacquiao beat Chris Algieri on a unanimous points decision in November, but lost twice in 2013 - to Timothy Bradley and Juan Manuel Marquez.
Mayweather meanwhile, whose unbeaten record stretches back to 1996, has won his past five bouts on points, most recently a rematch with Marcos Maidana in September.
Where the fight could be won and lost
Every boxing fan and bettor will have an opinion on where the fight could be won and lost. We’ve broken down a couple of key areas to see if there is an advantage for either fighter.
Does Mayweather struggle against Southpaw fighters?
Ever since Mayweather was originally accused of ‘ducking’ a fight with Pacquiao, there has been a stigma surrounding his ability to fight against southpaws.
Promoter Bob Arum was quoted, 'I promoted the guy for 10 years, and I know how difficult it was to get him in the ring with any southpaw.'
The reason behind the assumption is that Floyd pins his chin against his left shoulder and often stands with his front turned to his right.
This works well against an orthodox fighter as the power punches come from his right towards his left shoulder, which guards his chin.
The potential problem comes when the power punch comes from his left. Despite mastering the art of rolling to his right and then countering, his ageing years could make him more vulnerable.
However, he has been training with Zab Judah, so you can expect him to enter the ring with a plan.
Southpaw vs. Orthodox
Like other bouts that have seen a southpaw take-on an orthodox fighter the cross - Pacquiao’s straight left and Mayweather’s straight right – could be key in determining the fight.
The Pac Man is more powerful, but Floyd is more accurate, and more flexible in the way he throws it. The Filipino has also been known to overcommit as he aims to force the pace, which could leave him open to a counterpunch.
Mayweather is renowned for his great movement, and given Pacquiao struggled to tag good movers in the past - Timothy Bradley and Chris Algieri – he will need to keep Floyd guessing by throwing a number of feints.
The peculiar angles Pacquiao throws his punches from could cause problems for Floyd, like it has done for all of his other opponents. It didn’t affect Marquez recently, but that was his fourth attempt.
Determining how long it will take Mayweather to adjust could determine which way you bet.
Work rate vs. Accuracy
Judging accurately how each fighter's style will affect the other will help picking a winner.
Pacquiao is renowned for his relentless pressure, while Mayweather is revered for his passive stick and move style. Both are effective, but which will be more successful in this fight?
Many think Pac Man can't win on points, but if the judges favour work rate over accuracy, Floyd could be in trouble.
Manny will throw six punches to land one, while Floyd will be content to throw one or two more accurate punches. If he fails to tag Pacquiao, he could struggle to pick up points, making the 4.550 odds for Pacquiao to win on the judge's scorecard more promising.
Also will the Filipino’s work rate affect Mayweather like it did against Maidana in their rematch? Floyd resorted to excessive clinching on that night to neutralise Maidana's aggression, can he employ these tactics against a faster, fitter Pac Man?
Power is a leveller in most fights. Mayweather may have the single punch speed advantage, but Pacquiao has the power.
The Pac Man has 38 knockouts in his 57 fights, compared to Mayweather's 26 in 47. Pacquiao is not necessarily a heavy puncher but he has a quick hard punch, which has dropped a number of elite fighters in the past.
However since his TKO win against Miguel Cotto in 2009, the Filipino hasn’t knocked out any of his 9 opponents, while Mayweather's last six fights have gone to the judges scorecard.
The Over/Under at Pinnacle sees 11.5 rounds as the marker. Odds of 1.332 suggest the bookies strongly believe the fight will last the distance.
Mayweather to win on points at Pinnacle is available at 1.840, which implies a 54.35% chance of happening.
Who has the best chin?
Both fighters’ chins have been tested throughout their careers, but Mayweather has yet to be knocked down.
In comparison Pacquiao has been knocked out three times, two of which came over 15 years ago, while the most recent was in 2012 at the hands of Mexican great, Juan Manual Marquez.
Mayweather undoubtedly has a solid chin, and following his knockout defeat against Marquez the Pac Man could be more vulnerable than ever.
Odds at Pinnacle give Floyd (6.960) a 14.37% chance of winning by KO, TKO or DQ, while Pacquiao is slightly shorter at 6.150.
Who wins if it turns into a war?
Pacquiao will certainly look to make this a war and drag Mayweather with him, much like Maidana did.
If it does turn in to a toe-to-toe brawl, Manny will be favoured given he has much more experience in this situation. Of course Mayweather will be aware of this and should be too clever to be drawn in.
Can either adjust their style?
It's one thing having a plan before the fight, but if things go wrong, boxers must adapt their style. Who if either, is best equipped to do this?
Pacquiao has fought on the front foot all of his career and has rarely had to make adjustments because his non-stop aggression and speed was enough to beat most.
However when facing boxers who have made him adjust, he has struggled – think Marques and Bradley.
Mayweather has shown the ability to make adjustments during a fight – against Zab Judah for instance.
What the odds say
Odds of 2.660 at Pinnacle make Pacquiao the underdog, a position that he hasn’t been in since the Oscar De La Hoya fight in 2008.
Mayweather meanwhile is currently at 1.540 to remain undefeated. He opened at 1.498 this time, but when Pinnacle offered odds back in 2012 ahead of a potential fight he opened at 1.529, which shows little has happened in the three years since, to change the bookmakers' opinion.
The draw can be backed at 17.00, and with the fight so lucrative it would almost certainly result in Mayweather vs. Pacquiao 2.
The biggest fight gets the biggest promotion at Pinnacle
The Mayweather vs. Pacquiao fight is expected to generate in the region of £162m, making it the most lucrative in boxing history.
To celebrate Pinnacle are offering a number of unique boxing promotions:
Boxing bettors may me split as to who will win between Mayweather and Pacquiao but one thing is guaranteed Pinnacle will be offering the best odds, biggest limits and live betting come the first bell on May 2nd.
The money wagered on the Mayweather-Pacquiao bout is likely going to make the sports books in Vegas very, very pleased, as even those folks who don’t know the ins and outs of the lines and the odds and such are going to be laying some dough down on the May 2 “Super Bowl” of boxing.
I checked in with the guys at SportsbookReview.com, which since 1999 has sought to serve the sports bettor by offering ratings and recommendations based on the evaluations of hundreds of online sportsbooks and betting sites. The website also publishes reports on sportsbook features such as customer service, incentives and wager pricing. I wanted to get a sense of the odds and gain any insights they had about this clash and how bettors are reacting to it.
Here is what SBR analyst Lee Phelps, their boxing analyst, had to say about the fight:
“Pacquiao has advantages in power and age, and he is a southpaw. Speculation suggests Floyd doesn’t like fighting lefties and many believe that is why the fight has never happened. He’s been waiting for Manny to slow down first. Mayweather has reach, speed, and supreme defensive ability – so he is hard to hit, let alone knock down. His age and lack of top level opposition count against him. That is all speculation. What we do know is this fight would generate $300 million and may not live up to the hype, with Pacquiao lunging in with fists flying, but unable to connect with as much as he would like. I see a Mayweather points win and a frustrated Pacquiao.”
Odds are, according to Phelps:
┬À Mayweather – 1/3. That means if you bet $100 on Floyd to win, you will receive $133.33 for your trouble, $33.33 profit.
┬À Pacquiao – 11/4. That means if you bet $100 on PacMan to beat Floyd, then you get paid $375 for a $275 profit.
Lou Moretti, managing editor of SBR, will be keeping an eye on shifts in money coming in on both fighters and might be changing the lines accordingly. The line movement has been crazy on this fight so far, he said. Mayweather was a 3 to 1 favorite when the market open and now he’s a 2 to 1 favorite. The sports books want balanced action and they had a larger amount of volume come in on Pacquiao so they had to adjust the line accordingly, in order to make themselves less vulnerable. They tightened up the line, which means that, in theory, fewer PacMan backers will be laying money on Manny, and maybe more Mayweather backers will take a plunge on their guy.
As far as folks taking the plunge, the volume has been crazy, maybe no surprise considering how long people have been waiting for this clash.
“I can tell you one of the big five sports books already accepted more money on the money line winner market, who’s going to win the fight, than they have on any UFC fight in the history of the UFC,” Moretti said, with the fight still more than two months away.
“If I were wagering I’d wait and see if the market was shortening on Mayweather and then make a wager on him. How low could it go? Under 2, I would be surprisedÔÇª -175 or -180. Two to one I think is as low as you get.”
He’s thinking when we get to around fight week the line in most places will close 2 1/2 to 1 for Floyd. The last time the odds were so tight on a Floyd fight? “Oh, this is somewhat unique,” Moretti continued. He told me that the action on this one, with so many Manny-acs so in love with their guy, it reminds him of how some folks bet their beloved Yankees, even in down seasons, when the Bronx Bombers are subpar. “Yeah, a lot of emotional fans don’t handicap with numbers,” he said, preferring to “think” with their hearts over their minds.
Here are some fun prop bets you can see on Sportsbookreview.com – and these are presented just for fun:
Who will accompany Floyd Mayweather for the ring walk?
Which celebrity will be the first to be shown in attendance?
Who will be named the referee of the bout?
Who will sing the national anthem?
How many times will a mouthpiece fall out and hit the canvas?
Who will be first to conduct an in-ring interview of the winner?
How To Bet On Mayweather Vs Pacquiao Live
Who will the winning fighter thank first?
Will Freddie Roach and Floyd Mayweather Sr. shake hands or physically embrace post-fight?
Which fighter will land more power shots according to CompuBox?
Which fighter will land a higher percentage of power shots according to CompuBox?
Will a point be deducted from either fighter due to penalty?
Will an official knockdown be scored?
If a knockdown is scored, who scores it?
If Pacquiao scores a knockdown, will he win the fight?
If Mayweather scores a knockdown, will he win the fight?
Readers, feel free to toss up your own amusing or interesting “prop bet” in our comment section!
Michael Woods is a New York-based boxing writer who was hooked on the sport forever when Buster Douglas upset the thought-to-be-invincible Mike Tyson.